hmmm…..
It’s always hard to look back on a situation and wish that it had been done differently. Tony La Russa, the St. Louis Cardinals manager had that experience after the Cardinals loss to the Texas Rangers on Monday night. Pitchers were mistakenly called in when others were not ready and that set up the winning runs for the Rangers. Now, La Russa is bemoaning the fact that the error occurred, in fact he is even saying it was embarrassing.
We always seem to know what to do after the fact. “If only I had done this or that …” we complain when we realize our mistake. Easy to say. Sure, we can blame ourselves or others in hindsight. We can look back on a situation and wish it had turned out differently.
I am reading a book right now called “Blink”. Its premise is that we make snap decisions every day that turn out right. Our intuition is sometimes, well, almost usually, right. The author gives examples of instances where intuition (“just knowing”) trumps scientific investigation. The author is not saying that we should disregard logic and statistical information, I think he means that we should just not always put complete value on it and ignore the signals that are all around us.
I don’t know whether Mr. La Russa trusted his gut or his brain on Monday. But a great solution to the dilemma of whether to trust statistics or intuition is to pray. It’s always helpful to have some divine inspiration on hand to help us through the day. I like having that option. It usually works out. Besides, it never hurts to have a second opinion.
hmmm…,..
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